SURVEY IN AL-1 SHOWS COMPETITIVE RUN-OFFMore than a third (36%) of Run-Off Voters Say Byrne “too moderate”
The Now or Never Political Action Committee (NON-PAC) released the results of a survey of likely Republican voters in the upcoming run-off election between Bradley Byrne and Dean Young in Alabama’s First Congressional District. The NON-PAC sponsored survey was conducted October 6-8, 2013 by pollster Wenzel Strategies using automated telephone interviews yielding n=412 validated respondents.
The survey shows that both candidates are similarly known to likely Republican voters planning to cast a ballot in the November 5th run-off election (Byrne: 90% opinion / 10% no opinion ; Young: 90% opinion / 10% no opinion).
However, the two candidates are viewed as having opposite political philosophies. Over a third (36%) of likely Republican run-off voters believe that Bradley Byrne is “too moderate” when compared to the voter’s own way of thinking. Only 17% of voters say the same about Dean Young.
This should be troubling to Byrne who is a former Democrat running in a Republican election.
Despite topping the field in the September 24th primary election, Bradley Byrne has lost ground to Dean Young. The NON-PAC survey indicates that Byrne leads Young now by only 7% (44% - 37%), as Young shrinks the 12-point margin he trailed Byrne in the primary election (Byrne 34.6% - Young 23.0%) just two weeks ago.
Byrne outspent Young by more than three-to-one in the primary election; however, appears to be struggling to keep the commanding lead he badly needs to win the November 5th run-off.
Select Questions and ResultsBased on everything you know about Bradley Byrne, do you think that he is too moderate, too conservative, or do his political actions show his political philosophy is just right, to your way of thinking? Too Moderate 36% Too Conservative 17% Just Right 47%
Based on everything you know about Dean Young, do you think that he is too moderate, too conservative, or do his political actions show his political philosophy is just right, to your way of thinking? Too Moderate 17% Too Conservative 36% Just Right 48%
Now, if you were voting today in the election for the Republican nomination for Congress representing our area, and the candidate were Bradley Byrne and Dean Young, for whom would you vote? Bradley Byrne 44% Dean Young 37% Not Sure 19%
DemographicsGender Male 48% Female 52%
Ideology Moderate 15% Conservative 42% Tea Party Conserva. 43%
Age <30 9% 30-49 25% 50-69 40% 70+ 26%
About Wenzel StrategiesWenzel Strategies is a public opinion research firm based in Columbus, Ohio. Established in 2005, its clients include political candidates, governments, non-profit agencies, media, and corporations across the nation. Among its hundreds of clients are former-Congressman Ron Paul (TX), U.S. Senator Rand Paul (KY), and Citizens United. www.WenzelStrategies.com
About Now or Never PACNow or Never PAC is a Republican-led superPAC that the Wall Street Journal identified as one of the “top SuperPACs” of 2012 in U.S. House and U.S. Senate races, spending more than $4.9 million in Senate races and over $2.7 million in House races during the 2012 election cycle. Now or Never PAC is often the first organization to jump into races that are not always in the spotlight. www.NONPAC.com